Overall impression: downturn period for collectors?
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Post Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 3:07 am 
 

ciao guys, i opened this topic since recent auctions on ebay lead me to think that we are going into a downturn period...

i remeber last week (or 2 weeks ago) brian asking the reasons for such a low price for a white box 4th print...

this morning i woke up and found that i got a MM softcover for 12 EUR...

grodog (again this morning) had an OCE for 66 USD (nice conditions! congats!!!)

and many others auctions referred to early products went following this trend:




** expired/removed eBay auction **





** expired/removed eBay auction **





** expired/removed eBay auction **




then i found that with less than 1 day to go there were items available with prices lower than usual:




** expired/removed eBay auction **





** expired/removed eBay auction **





** expired/removed eBay auction **





** expired/removed eBay auction **




...whats happening?

in my eyes, theres a general problem of supply which is taking over demand... if i were a seller, i'd seize the moment and collect new items for the future...

(whats annoying me is that i was thinking to place for the first time smtg to sell next week and i dont know whether i'll do!!!  :? )


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Post Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 5:43 am 
 

Back to school?
Least here in the states money may be in shorter supply for all those who have been preparing and now should be back to school. Not sure that is the cause though.

ShaneG.


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Post Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 8:51 am 
 

Further speculation - the convention season ended last month, mainly with GenCon.  Now for the people who attended big cons, again perhaps mainly GenCon, their credit card bills are starting to come in, and they may be pulling back?
Just brainstorming...

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Post Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 9:59 am 
 

In France this is the totally inverse pattern. Price are increased when holidays are finished and people go back to school. Actually prices are very higher than 1 month ago on ebay.fr

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Post Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 12:23 pm 
 

There's no crisis here.  You don't seem to be taking condition into account.

For example, the GW MM that I won is described as in "poor" condition.  A lot of collectors will pass that up entirely.  I recently won the same item in much better shape for about $70 USD.

Likewise, the G,DG, & H had two holes bored through it!  These things greatly affect value.

The rest of the prices seem more or less what I'd expect.

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Post Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 12:38 pm 
 

And some of the big money buyers are pulling in their horns. I notice bombadil selling off major items, so I imagine he's buying less. Frank has gone through a similar clearance with his non-TSR. Non-TSY seems to be down across the board, although lofenloc has been splashing out. I haven't bought much in a while either. I'd say the market is quite cheap ATM. A good time for buyers and newbies alike.

PS. I'm on my hols for three weeks in the US. I can still pick up PM's if anything big goes down. I wouldn't want to miss out on Paul selling off that B2 Prepub with Gary's folder of notes.


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Post Posted: Sun Sep 17, 2006 2:03 pm 
 

deimos3428 wrote:There's no crisis here.  You don't seem to be taking condition into account.


I would definitely second that.  Really pristine stuff is still getting high prices.  And some sellers are not helping themselves.  Witness that Cthulhu 'Stark raving mad' that went recently for half what it should have done.  But the seller didn't accept paypal...


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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 10:06 am 
 

The first print "Don't Give up the Ship" seems to be heading for a fairly good price as well.


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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 10:07 am 
 

"WOO HOO!" 200 posts (took long enough).

....OOOPS now 201....... DOH!  :oops:


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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 10:37 am 
 

AdderMcOne wrote:The first print "Don't Give up the Ship" seems to be heading for a fairly good price as well.


Vermillion's copy is in really nice condition but $167 seems a bit high to me.

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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 10:43 am 
 

Mars wrote:
Vermillion's copy is in really nice condition but $167 seems a bit high to me.


It's a lot more than I paid for mine but Vermillion's is definitely in better condition.

Still it shows there's people willing to pay a higher dollar for some items.

It'll be good to see what it ends up going for..


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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 11:25 am 
 

AdderMcOne wrote:
It'll be good to see what it ends up going for..




For those curious to see the final result or the item in question:



First Print Don't Give Up The Ship on eBay

  

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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 4:23 pm 
 

Wow, that is a really high price. Tempted to sell our copy. There were several other Guidon Games items that sold the other day. Wargamer's Guide to the Battle of the Bulge went for $177 or so. It was in "new" condition though.

Glad VermilionFire made out so well :)

  

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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 4:29 pm 
 

burntwire brothers wrote:Wow, that is a really high price. Tempted to sell our copy. There were several other Guidon Games items that sold the other day. Wargamer's Guide to the Battle of the Bulge went for $177 or so. It was in "new" condition though.

Glad VermilionFire made out so well :)


Well its up to $280 with 5 hours still to go.  I am still just in awe.

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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 4:36 pm 
 

WOW! well done! great price but a great win too for lance.

Al


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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 5:00 pm 
 

killjoy32 wrote:WOW! well done! great price but a great win too for lance.

Al


I think the assumption here that Lance has won the auction already although there is still 4 hours to go says a lot :)  But it is a nice addition to any collection.

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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 5:17 pm 
 

Mars wrote:
I think the assumption here that Lance has won the auction already although there is still 4 hours to go says a lot :)  But it is a nice addition to any collection.


well yes that was the assumption :)

but hey great item whoever gets it i say!

Al


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Post Posted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 6:50 pm 
 

Didn't later printings of Don't Give Up the Ship come with maps of ships, or am I thinking of something else?


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