deimos3428 wrote:Umm, if anyone has a T1st Greyhawk, in any condition, I'll gladly pay $9 for it. Oh...that's not what you meant.
Deadlord36 wrote:We were both right, depending on the context. If you look at every roll as an individual roll, the chances are 4 in 36. If you look at 36 rolls, every time a 9 is rolled, the chances of another nine are less.
Deadlord36 wrote:Price guides with fixed figues are outdated. they worked fine when brick-and-mortar stores were the only outlets, but eBay threw that out the window.
FoulFoot wrote:I'd disagree. It's still worth $500 -- or whatever the average of sales, adjusted for condition, is saying. The only time your individual purchase will have an effect is if the data points are so few that a single sale can distort it greatly.
deimos3428 wrote:The probability of a single roll of a 9 with 2d6 is 4 in 36, no problem there. These are mutually exclusive events, they in no way depend on each other.For only 36 rolls, there is absolutely no guarantee that each of the 36 possible combinations will come up once and only once. In fact, it's exceedingly improbable. (No, I don't feel like calculating it exactly, either break out the calculator or just take it on faith.) If that were true I'd be gambling a lot more.
bclarkie wrote:The guide itself is supposed to be just to establish the relative particular "value" of an item and it is not set up to say that is what you have to pay.
deimos3428 wrote:bclarkie wrote:The guide itself is supposed to be just to establish the relative particular "value" of an item and it is not set up to say that is what you have to pay.Now there's a thought, take this relative idea literally and measure everything relative to a standard D&D unit -- the beat up B2. So a mint 1st woody might be worth a 1.5 to 2.0 mega-B2s...you get the idea.